By Don’t count on it:
China has taken a series of economic sanctions against North Korea after the UN Security Council adopted Resolution 1874 over the North’s recent nuclear test. Accounting for more than 70 percent of North Korea’s international trade, China is seen to hold the key to success of the sanctions.
Chinese customs foiled an attempt to smuggle the rare metal vanadium, which can be used in missile casings, to North Korea. And Zhongkuang International Investment, a Chinese firm, has reportedly halted construction of facilities for a joint copper mine with Korea Mining Development Trading Corporation (KOMID), a North Korean firm blacklisted by the UNSC. [Chosun Ilbo]
What is interesting is that these supposed enforcement of sanctions against North Korea happened the same week that Chinese officials were having their big summit over in Washington D.C. Like I have been saying before this is for show and the Chosun Ilbo concurs:
But the handful of measures do not necessarily mean a change in China’s basic North Korea policy. China is also worried about losing influence in Northeast Asia if the tide turns in favor of bilateral talks between Washington and Pyongyang and is therefore unlikely to cut the North adrift completely.
2:03 pm on July 31st, 2009 1
May or may not mean a change in Chinas policy. But it sure as heck shows they are interested in any policy changes. China is the key player (as the major trading partner of North Korea) and should be kept in the loop. Significant interest is also held by Russia , Japan, and South Korea. The US would be wise to act as mediator and not as military power or advocate. Let the primaries decide the best course of action. North Korea is in their back yard, not ours.
10:18 pm on July 31st, 2009 2
China will do what is good for China, and they could give a flying leap for doing any favors for anyone else. It was convenient for them to stop the exit of scarce or critical materials, maybe they need for their own programs. That it was on the border with NK, gee, coincidental I guess, but to suggest it was any kind of enforcement of sanctions is a bit of a stretch.
1:08 pm on November 6th, 2009 3
传闻金正“云”（三子）的亲信已经多次试图暗杀金正“男”（长子），是中共力保，“云”未成功。
“男”是中共手中的一张牌。中共有意助“男”登基。
我（何健）还是很看好“男”的。不远之将来，金正“日”驾崩后，必有一次或多次军事政变（如毛泽东下地狱后，不久四人帮就垮台了）。关键因素是军方的态度。“日”在世，军方个个唯唯诺诺；“日”下地狱后，在北韩，（朝鲜，我更愿意称其为北韩）那是将军们的天下。我一直关注“日”的妹夫张成泽的动向，我预言他最终会弃“云”择“男”。
让我们拭目以待！[经典]
——摘自《何健语录》，欢迎转载，谢谢支持！