ROK Drop

Avatar of GI KoreaBy on January 7th, 2013 at 3:51 am

US Congressional Report Expects China To Intervene In North Korea

This report’s finding may be surprising to some, but really it shouldn’t because despite being so troublesome to China, North Korea is a useful buffer state that they will do everything possible to maintain:

An 84-page report published by the US Congress says China remains a potential obstacle for the unification of the Korean peninsula, the Seoul-based Yonhap news agency reports.

The report suggests that it is unlikely that North and South Korea may reunify in the manner of West and East Germany because of Beijing’s growing influence in the region, according to Senator Richard Lugar (R-IN). From a historical point of view, the Korean peninsula was always considered a buffer zone for China against foreign invasion and thus Beijing would be loath to welcome a reunification under a pro-American Seoul government.

Furthermore, it is not in China’s national interests to face a strong and unified Korea on its northeastern border, the report said. Territorial disputes between Beijing, Pyongyang and Seoul occur frequently over the Chinese-Korean border. “China may try to impede the reunification of the two Koreas, which have been divided for more than 60 years, or seek to play a major role in a reunified Korea,” said the report. “Disputes about the Korea-China borderline are historic and endless.”

To maintain regional stability and prevent the collapse of the Stalinist regime in the North, Chinese officials told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee that China reserves the right to place PLA troops across the border inside North Korea, which would also be a means to prevent floods of refugees crossing the border into China. “These plans have been described not as an invasion, but as a preemptive move that will be taken in consultation with North Korean authorities,” the official said.  [Watch China Times]

I have written plenty before about what the US and South Korea should do if regime collapse happens in North Korea.  One of my key recommendations is that the US military should commit no troops to enter into North Korea.  You can read why here.

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  • Glans
    9:44 am on January 7th, 2013 1

    Now that OFK has linked this thread, I’ve got around to reading it. Where is the 84-page report? I’m looking for confirmation that the Chinese actually told the US Congress that China has a right to send troops to North Korea. This whole thing undermines the Glans Plan. :cry:

    Your link should be Want, not Watch, China Times. I don’t understand ‘Want China Times’, but that’s what it calls itself.

  • tom langley
    12:38 pm on January 7th, 2013 2

    GI Korea, I agree 100% that no US forces should go north of the former DMZ if the Korea’s are reunified. The people in communist North Korea have been indoctrinated since they were little children that the US is essentially the devil incarnate. There would be a huge resistance if we were to send troops north. Let the ROK Army & retrained former NK forces do the job of keeping order. The only exception might be for some forces, such as some USAF personnel flying in food aid. If this were to happen we would have to tell the Red Chinese that this was a short term temporary deployment. If the ROK Army goes north & the Red Chinese go south, well I sure hope we don’t get involved with that fustercluck.

  • Tom
    2:22 pm on January 7th, 2013 3

    I want to see the battle between PRC forces versus US Racist White Army which will get smashed to bits. :lol:

  • Flyingsword
    2:33 pm on January 7th, 2013 4

    China already is intervening in north Korea, once again my tax dollars used to research the obvious.

    http://www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/afp_asiapacific_business/view/1225560/1/.html

    http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/nation/2012/09/116_119673.html

    And Tom, do every have anything constructive to say or is it all just race baiting crap?

  • Leon LaPorte
    3:42 pm on January 7th, 2013 5

    3. No, you really do not. Putting aside the carnage (which would mainly affect your Korean brethren) the economic ripples would be catastrophic and would most likely produce ripples that would touch you, even in Canada. You might have to drop out of college when your folks can’t send you money anymore.

    I expect you would immediately come back to Korea to serve, defend, and rebuild your country, right?

  • PeterDownUnder
    10:04 pm on January 7th, 2013 6

    Just google “China’s impact on Korean peninsula unification and questions for the state”.

    You can easily find the pdf. Its actually quite a quick read since most of the 82 pages are references and maps. Probably only a 40 page reading around 3000 words max.

  • PeterDownUnder
    10:06 pm on January 7th, 2013 7

    Very unbiased reading, really demonstrates both sides of the table, interesting to look at the Chinese perspective especially on the historiorgraphy of the peninsula.

  • tom langley
    10:21 pm on January 7th, 2013 8

    If the Red Chinese were to take over all or part of the former DPRK which if were to happen I guess some sort of puppet government would be put in like the Japanese did with Manchuria during WW2 I wonder what the other Tom’s reaction would be?

  • Teadrinker
    11:32 pm on January 7th, 2013 9

    #3,

    The Chinese military is so scary with it’s recycled Ukrainian aircraft carrier on which planes can’t land.

  • Teadrinker
    11:41 pm on January 7th, 2013 10

    #5,

    Exactly. North Korea has an antiquated infrastructure. South Korea would be hemorrhaging money for a generation before it’s up to international standards…and that’s without even considering the human and environmental factors.

  • Teadrinker
    11:53 pm on January 7th, 2013 11

    #8,

    North Korea has been China’s lapdog for years.

  • John in NY
    8:19 am on January 8th, 2013 12

    #4

    “And Tom, do every have anything constructive to say or is it all just race baiting crap?”

    Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me. Fool me 3353454 times….

  • Glans
    2:29 pm on January 8th, 2013 13

    Thanks, PeterDownUnder 6. Your search worked.

    The report says, “Chinese officials earlier informed Senate Foreign Relations’ Committee staff that China reserved the right to place troops across the border …, ” but it doesn’t quote these officials or give the context. I really doubt that any Chinese official really said that out loud.

    The report refers to a “tributary province”, but the idea that the Chinese could hope to extract tribute from North Korea seems ridiculous. It would likely be a burden on China, borne for strategic reasons.

    The report quotes an unnamed former state department official: “The day China decides to break with the DPRK and the moment the PRC decides that a reunified Korean Peninsula Under Seoul’s aegis) is more in its interest than a divided peninsula, that is when the process of Korea’s national unification will begin in earnest, and there will be little the DPRK can do to sustain itself as an independent entity. It is for that reason that the North has been extremely cautious in its ties with Beijing. … China is the DPRK’s lifeline and insurance policy, which for a nationalistic North Korea is something that necessarily sticks in the craw, but it is a fact of life.” That’s the Glans Plan and the opposition to it.

    Finally, what can I say about the maps? How about this:
    A historic map was recently excavated from the tribal archives of the ancient Wikipeds. It demonstrates that the following countries were Roman territory, and are consequently the property of the successor of the Roman Empire, namely the Roman Catholic Church: England, Portugal, Spain, France, Switzerland, Austria, western Germany, Italy, Romania, western Hungary, Macedonia, Croatia, Herzogovina, Montenegro, Serbia, Kosovo, Bulgaria, Greece, Turkey, Armenia, Iraq, Syria, Israel, Palestine, northwestern Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, Morocco. Click here.

 

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