It looks like ROK forces best be on a heightened state of alert along the DMZ and especially the NLL because the recent UN sanctions have given them an excuse to create another provocation:
North Korea on Friday threatened “physical countermeasures” against South Korea if it directly takes part in United Nations-led sanctions against the communist country.
The statement carried by the Korean Central News Agency and issued by the Committee for the Peaceful Reunification of the Fatherland, claimed that South Korea played an active part in the passage of the U.N. Security Council resolution that condemned Pyongyang for launching a long-range rocket on Dec. 12.
The resolution passed unanimously by the 15-member council on Wednesday (Korea time) is the fifth to be slapped on the North for its rocket and nuclear programs since May 1993. It calls for the tightening of existing sanctions, such as imposing travel bans on four individuals and freezing assets belonging to North Korea’s space agency, a bank and four trading companies accused of engaging in arms shipments. It also banned technology developments and the transfer of money that supports such operations.
“If the South takes direct part in the U.N. sanctions, the DPRK will take strong physical countermeasures against it,” it said, referring to North Korea’s official name, the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea. [Yonhap]
You can read the rest at the link, but the North Koreans will likely not launch a provocation in the near term, but instead wait and see how negotiations go with the new Park Geun-hye government in regards to getting free stuff. If they feel like they cannot get free stuff from the new South Korean government than they may return to their usual provocation playbook to pressure the South Korean government to give in to their demands.