ROK Drop

Avatar of GI KoreaBy on May 19th, 2013 at 6:11 am

North Korea Conducts 2nd Day of Missile Firings; Will this End the Provocation Cycle?

» by in: North Korea

I always figured that the North Koreans would have to fire something to end their provocation cycle and that is what that is what they are currently doing:

North Korea fired a short-range missile from its east coast on Sunday, a day after launching three of these missiles, a South Korean news agency said, ignoring calls for restraint from Western powers. Launches by the North of short-range missiles are not uncommon but, after recent warnings from the communist state of impending nuclear war, such actions have raised concerns about the region’s security.  [Reuters]

Despite the media hype I knew they were not going to fire a Musudan missile at Guam or a nuclear tipped ICBM at the US because that would cross a red line that would invite retaliation which is what they do not want.  It is absurd to think that people actually thought this was a possibility at all.  There was even people advocating for bombing North Korea over this staged provocation theater.  All these scenarios were nothing but media scaremongering that the Kim regime was happy to take advantage of.  I figured the most provocative thing they could have done and got away with is firing a missile over Japan.  However, if reports are correct the Chinese put pressure on the North Koreans to end their provocation cycle by closing regime bank accounts in China.  The threat of possibly targeting more regime accounts is probably what led to them removing the Musudans from the North Korean East Coast.  However, for the Kim regime to save face they had to fire something and thus that is why they are currently firing these short range missiles into the Sea of Japan. Just think though if this test firing happened a month ago the media would have been describing this as a prelude to war and what is the US going to do in response.  However this month it is hardly drawing any notice due to the news cycle having plenty of other stuff to report on.

After the North Koreans finish their test firing they will claim victory domestically by claiming that their advanced missile technology and might of the Korean People’s Army under the leadership of Kim Jong-un has once again stopped the Yankee Imperialists and their South Korean puppet allies.  Things will deescalate, the soldiers will go back to working in the fields if they haven’t already, and the next phase in this drama will play out which is the North Koreans trying to get concessions from the US and ROK in some form or another.

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7
  • Glans
    6:50 am on May 19th, 2013 1

    Maybe the Norks can take credit for a bright explosion on the moon visible from the earth, which Jason Moon (sic) reported for CNN.

  • tom langley
    12:33 pm on May 19th, 2013 2

    The best thing that will hopefully come out of this NK bravado is that the NK leadership can see that this time that the US & the ROK did not blink. No appeasement & no foreign aid were forthcoming. Just maybe we might get some real meaningful dialogue from the north. Probably not but maybe.

  • 1488666ahhssss
    12:37 pm on May 19th, 2013 3

    yawn

  • Larry
    4:14 pm on May 19th, 2013 4

    I hope we don’t give them any concessions, they deserve further UN Sanctions

  • MTB Rider
    4:59 pm on May 19th, 2013 5

    It’s always so annoying when you write something, hit send, and your own computer hiccups!

    Anyways, yep, right on schedule, right on script. A couple missiles fired out to sea, hitting the exact point in the middle of the water they were aimed at! Not off by even a millimeter! Such Accuracy! Such Power! All made possible through the Great Leader’s Divine Inspiration!

    Up next? Well, I see two biggies: Kenneth Bae and Kaesong Industrial Park. Will Bae be released on “Humanitarian Grounds,” thoroughly chastened and regretting his actions? Or will it take a visit from Rodman, or Jimmy Carter, ir even Big Bill Clinton? (Might be Bubba, Hillary needs someone to draw fire away from her right now.)

    Then the process of reopening Kaesong Ind. Park. I think the North Koreans were surprised when President Park called their bluff, and didn’t let herself get suckered into their stalling tactics of “Wait! You also owe us for trash pick-up last Tuesday!”
    Now the North has to figure out a way to entice the South back into the park without looking like they are coming, hat in hand, to beg forgiveness from the South.

    Has anybody seen Kim the Third lately? He seems to be keeing a mighty low profile lately. The bureaucracy seems to be humming along with the standard threats on auto-send, but no sign of Mr. Krispy Kream.

  • Denny
    5:15 pm on May 19th, 2013 6

    It’s to prevent domestic unrest.

  • 1488666ahhssss
    12:31 pm on May 20th, 2013 7

    indeed denny

 

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